In the 1940s, Thomas Watson as head of IBM said that he thought that there might be a worldwide need for two, perhaps three, computers.
In the early 1990s, Bill Gates did not believe that the internet would take off, so Microsoft didn’t produce a browser for a while. This allowed Netscape to be the number one browser for a few years.
Many people today do not understand the power and role of social media and networking.
The point of all of this? I have been amused to read predictions on several blogs, both inside ecademy and on the internet, about what the next 10 years are going to bring in the IT and networking worlds.
I don’t know how anybody can be confident in making these predictions; the rate of change in technology, the reate of development of software, the different ways in which people are using netwroking software to
build their on-line presence, the consequences of people waking up and realising that the internet is not an easy, get-rich-quick scheme and that they have been duped into spending a lot of money on courses
etc., all mean that it is extremely difficult to predict accurately what is going to happen.
That’s not to say that it isn’t fun trying!
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